The dashboard and all contents thereof and all services are provided on an “as is” basis without any warranty or condition, express, implied or statutory. User acknowledges any forecast is an experimental research product and there are uncertainties inherent in attempting to make projections, forecasts, and plans. User takes full responsibility for making its own evaluation of the adequacy and accuracy of all projections, forecasts, and plans

Welcome to the the Ormstrup Sø (Lake Ormstrup) water temperature forecast dashboard. Forecasts are generated by the Virginia Tech Center for Ecosystem Forecasting (CEF) in collaboration with Aarhus University Institute of Ecoscience partners.

THIS FORECAST IS ONLY A PROOF OF CONCEPT AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR DECISION MAKING OR ANY ACCESSMENT OF FORECAST QUALITY

Page last updated on 2026-06-27 16:31:00 local time.

How forecasts are created

Forecasts are generated using the Forecasting Lakes and Reservoir Ecosystem (FLARE) system. FLARE combines data assimilation (ensemble Kalman filter), the General Lake Model (GLM), and numerical weather forecasts to generate ensemble water quality forecasts. It provides depth resolved outputs that include uncertainty from weather forecasts (via ensemble weather forecasts), GLM parameters, and GLM numerical representation of the ecosystem. The forecasts are automatically generated every day at 13:00 UTC using GitHub Actions.

Relevant Research from the Virginia Tech Center for Ecosystem Forecasting

Learn more about other forecasting applications by the Virginia Tech Center for Ecosystem Forecasting here.

Learn more about the ongoing research at the Center for Ecosystem Forecasting here.